Roma – Lazio, Serie A Prediction

Roma have just regained their confidence after defeating Frosinone 4-0 in the week, but this is one of the weakest teams in the championship, so such victories for Roma should not be a factor for their level, even more so, because they lost from Bologna and made a draw at home with Chievo before. Now they are going to have a Roman derby, which they are obliged to win, not only because they are hosts, but also because of the few points they have in the championship. Of course, they will also face Victoria Pilzen in the Champions League in the week, which is clear to Di Francesco, so he gave a little rest to Dzeko during the week. If Roma beat this derby, they will only stay 1 point behind Lazio, who are 4th at the moment. Traditionally, Roma are a very good host, but in the last season they have lost 7 times at Olympico in the league, which is not normal for a top-level team.

Lazio started the season bad, at least in terms of results, because they got beaten from Napoli and Juventus, but their performance is not bad and it is important to note that there really is no reason to write off Lazio for battle of top 4, for example, because they did not lose any main player in the summer. Maybe only Anderson, but he was not a big part of the squad in the past campaign. Still, they have stepped up with good players like Correa from Sevilla. Lazio will go on top of the top four this season again after the last campaign they didn’t manage to make it in their shocking match the last round of calico, when they got beaten from Inter at home after several comebacks. Roma, Milan and Inter are not much better than Lazio, so the ambitions of Roman eagles are real. They are also in a series of 5 consecutive wins, so they enter with confidence in this derby.

Of the last five fights when Roma have hosted at Olympico against Lazio, in 4 of them there was BTTS + over 2.5 goals. A lot of goals have been scored in this derby and that’s quite reasonable. Now our prediction is BTTS at 1.57, as the defense of Roma is in a bad stage and Lazio punish mistakes easily. At the same time, Roma can’t allow not to get at least a goal and do not try to win the game, because they have no right to lose it at least. Very difficult to predict a match in terms of which side will take the three points, but you can also bet on cards, because in Italy this is a tradition, especially in such derbies.