Willem II – AZ Alkmaar, KNVB Beker

Willem II defeated AZ Alkmaar a few days ago for Eredivisie and it was the last match of both teams. It is strange for AZ to allow such a loss, provided it is in very good shape. Willem’s goal is to finish in top 7 in Eredivisie, which is not impossible, and on the other hand they didn’t play a cup final before, so that’s a great chance for them.

AZ are far from the PSV and Ajax class and this is obvious in the championship, but things are different for the cup. For the AZ, the opportunity is also huge, because if they reach the final, their chances are not very small, because in one match, nothing is certain. AZ are in very strong form and, aside from this loss from Willem, they have 6 consecutive wins to 0 before in which they scored at least 2 goals.

That is precisely why we think AZ will not allow a new failure and after seeing what Willem is capable of, they will not repeat this mistake and will win the game, which will of course be much more important now. The matches of AZ and Willem can never be predicted, because there are no trends in them, nor anything to be taken into account by statistics, so we rely on the class and professionalism of AZ. Since this is a Dutch match, though, and AZ rarely win 1-0, our prediction is AZ – Over 1.5 goals at 1.64.

• Willem conceded at least 2 goals in 3 of his last 4 games